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C.J. Watson would be a solid pickup, but Anthony Johnson will forever go down as underappreciated

07/20/09 | by Zach McCann [mail] | Categories: Players, Analysis

There’s no question that — as purely a basketball player — any knowledgeable person would agree that C.J. Watson is better than Anthony Johnson. Watson would beat Johnson in one-on-one, all 30 teams would prefer Watson over Johnson, and Watson is a decade younger.

But how much of an improvement will Watson provide over Johnson as the Orlando Magic’s backup point guard?

Johnson received a lot of criticism from Magic fans throughout last season, and much of it was undeserved. He knew his role and provided a lot of energy and enthusiasm off the bench. He didn’t light the world on fire, but I thought Magic fans were expecting a little too much out of a point guard who backs up an all-star.

That said, the Magic were undoubtedly a better team with either Rafer Alston or Jameer Nelson on the floor. The Magic averaged 112.7 points per 100 possessions with Johnson off the floor — and only 107.9 when he was on it. The man is 34 years old and entering his 13th NBA season, so the Magic were surely in their right mind to attempt an upgrade.

Watson certainly provides that with his ability to score and create offense. But the difference may not be as wide as you think. Consider the following facts from last season, when both players were backup point guards on their respective teams:

  • Per 48 minutes, Johnson averaged 6.5 assists and his opponent averaged 6.2 assists. Watson put up 5.3 assists and allowed 9.9 assists to the opposing point guard.

  • Watson’s advantage in eFG% was .500 to .472 — that’s hardly astonishing, especially when you consider that Johnson created more opportunities for others.

  • Johnson's hands rating was a tenth higher than Watson's last season, meaning their handles are essentially the same.

    All that being said, Watson is certainly a better option for this Magic team. This is just a last-ditch attempt to defend Johnson, who I believe has been shafted by Magic fans since his arrival in Orlando.

    Watson had a much-higher PER, turned the ball over less, was more active in creating turnovers and provided a far-more consistent offensive player than Johnson — Watson is going to be a great fit, if the Warriors don’t match. He’s used to playing in an up-tempo style after spending a couple years with the Warriors, and he plays a lot like a poor man’s Jameer Nelson by shooting well from the outside and being a natural scorer at heart.

    Even though the Warriors have an influx at point guards, Watson is a guy they like in Golden State. This from the Bay Area News Group:

    Though the Warriors drafted celebrated point guard Stephen Curry and acquired two point guards in a trade with the Atlanta Hawks, Watson is not deterred.

    Watson has earned the trust of the coaching staff, the respect of his teammates and the support of the fans. While the Warriors were beset with injuries last season, Watson proved to be a reliable backup, averaging 9.5 points and 2.7 assists in 24.5 minutes.

    And like Nelson, Watson is cool. From the American Chronicle:

    His expression never changes. No matter when you see him or what the conversation is, Watson has that same wide-eyed, boyish look and innocent smile every time.

    Doesn't matter whether he's just knocked a tooth out of Joakim Noah's mouth or hit a game-winning 3-pointer.

    Or, for that matter, learned that his NBA team, the Golden State Warriors, drafted Davidson super guard Stephen Curry with the seventh overall pick in the draft.

    "They can draft who they want to draft," said Watson, who started out with the Warriors in January of 2008 and played a whole season last year. "It doesn't matter, because it's all about competing and working hard."

    It’s unclear what will happen with the Watson situation. We’ll have more in the coming days.

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    Comment from: Daniel [Visitor]
    I couldn't agree more with this article. A.J. was a solid veteran when we needed him last year. There were times in the playoffs where it seemed that the Magic had forgotten how to play basketball and A.J. would hit the lane and dunk over guys a foot taller than him. He wasn't the most talented player but he was consistent and he wasn't ever scared of anyone including his coach and Dwight Howard. I saw him get fired up at both of them during playoff games that I went to. That's what you need, a veteran who can come into the game unfazed and knock down a couple baskets. I truly believe we would have been better in the finals if we just kept our rotation of Alston and Johsnon at PG instead of trying to work Jameer in to the lineup. He has done everything he could for the Magic and for that I salute A.J.
    07/20/09 @ 08:22
    Comment from: JCLL [Visitor]

    I like AJ a lot. And even if magic fans don't like him, get used to him b/c the Watson offer will most likely be matched.

    I don't see why GS would not match it, specially since the offer is for a relatively low number.
    07/20/09 @ 12:59
    Comment from: Caleb Johnson [Member] Email
    AJ was shafted by Magic fans? F that. Tyronn Lue was shafted by the whole city of Orlando, and by you countless times.
    07/20/09 @ 14:03
    Comment from: JCLL [Visitor]
    Dude, Lue just sucks. He's lucky he gets paid an NBA salary for sitting at the end of the bench and staying at 5 star hotels.

    If anything he is shafting the magic fans.
    07/20/09 @ 19:15
    Comment from: Caleb Johnson [Member] Email
    Lue had never been a bench warmer in his life until he came to Orlando (his career average is 22.7 minutes a game, compared to AJ's 19.9). How did he shaft Magic fans by lighting up the scoreboard whenever he entered the game (which was rare)? Otis, SVG, and the entire organization owe him an apology for wasting half of his season. And you can say he sucks all you want to if it makes you feel better, but I'd like to see you average .391 from three for a 10-year career.
    07/20/09 @ 21:57
    Comment from: magicman1215 [Visitor] Email
    A.J was a very solid back-up, but he age was starting to show. No matter what happens I'll always have YouTube to watch him dunk on people out of nowhere. Oh and BTW, Ty Lue was complete garbage and deserves to be shunned.
    07/21/09 @ 01:32
    Comment from: ricky [Visitor]
    Lue is the worst point guard in the league. I would rather sign players from the wnba than T Lue.
    07/21/09 @ 18:25
    Comment from: Orl#1 Fan [Visitor] Email
    T lue can play some good ball if he had AI3 heart but T Lue my friend you dont got one.So thats why the magic r not going 2 keep him. And her is you 2009-10 orlando magic roster D.howard,B.Bass,R.Lewis,V.Carter,J.Nelson Bench R.Anderson,M.Gortat,M.Barnes,J.Redick,M.Pietrus,A.Johnson,C.J.Watson there r your top 12 for next season

    07/21/09 @ 19:00
    Comment from: toni [Visitor]
    just pick foreal
    there soo many more player and they all free agents


    Bogans, Keith
    Carter, Anthony
    Curry, Eddy
    Daniels, Marquis
    Davis, Glen
    Felton, Raymond
    Gooden, Drew
    Gray, Aaron
    Harrington, Al
    Head, Luther
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    Magloire, Jamaal
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    Miller, Andre
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    O'Neal, Jermaine
    Odom, Lamar
    Powe, Leon
    Sessions, Ramon
    Singletary, Sean
    Szczerbiak, Wally
    Wafer, Von(good when he started)
    Watson, C.J.
    Williams, Marvin
    07/22/09 @ 05:55
    Comment from: Francis [Visitor] Email
    I'm not sure how much these statistical comparisons help, since the Warriors play a completely different style of basketball. Even adjusting for per/48, it doesn't account for their SSoL-style of play, matched by zero defense.

    As for Anthony Johnson, I've heard people try to defend him, but all I remember is having a freaking heart attack every time he had to handle the ball against full-court pressure. I was sure that Rajon Rondo was going to rip it from him every time in the Celtics series. It was exhausting emotionally, and for that reason alone I'm glad the Magic picked up another guard.
    07/22/09 @ 07:35
    Comment from: 2loud4nba [Visitor]
    This article is BS. REAL Magic fans loved AJ. Perhaps the band wagon and fly-buy-nights did not like him but those clowns are the same ones chanting for JJ and jumping out of their seats when he hits a shot agter 6 misses.
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